Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch At 60 beats per minute

At 60 beats per minute

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Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch At 60 beats per minuteThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an